The southwest monsoon is predicted to withdraw from western Rajasthan starting from September 19, which comes a few days after the regular timetable of September 17. National-level rainfall monitoring indicates a constant 15% deficit in total rainfall, thus forcing more than 218 districts to face serious dry spells and pressure on agricultural production.
Spatial variation caused by El Niño has brought critical moisture shortages in major farmlands. Irreversible deficits : With the onset of the withdrawal stage of the monsoon, it has been observed that there is no way to make up for the cumulative deficit in the abovementioned core agricultural regions. The government has prepared contingency plans and identified hundreds of districts that have faced inadequate irrigation facilities and heavy rainfall deficits.
Rainfall forecast and last rainfall
Regional weather forecast : Jammu and Kashmir are likely to witness rainfall, and there is some possibility of scattered showers in Punjab, Haryana, and Delhi. Southern showers : There will be isolated showers of heavy rainfall in Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, and Kerala, but these delayed rains are not going to help regional farming problems.
In the final stages before the monsoon leaves the subcontinent, local showers are expected to occur at isolated spots.
